Biden Vs Trump Polls 2024 Map. Polling misses are based on averages published by the new york times in 2012, 2016 and 2020, and on fivethirtyeight’s 2022. A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to biden and trump.
The 2016 election margin, rounded to the nearest 1%, is used where there are no polls. State of the union polls;
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